2 Emerging Markets
How do we assess
market development?
Countries today
are industrializing, some at different rates in various sectors
Thus there can
be rapid development in one sector, like telecommunications,
and slow development in another sector, like health care
This makes traditional
frameworks hard to use since they are based on
similar development in all sectors
3 Economic Development
Economic development
is a sustained increase in the real national output of
goods and services, especially output per capita
How can development
be encouraged? Increase land use, increase efficiency,
build interdependencies, develop infrastructure, increasing literacy,
improve education
4 Development vs. Dependency
Development advances
towards goals, will make progress - more involvement in
industrialization and building industry. Thus high energy use, high
education, high employment
Dependency -
underdevelopment, no control, no planning - more involvement in
agriculture
5 Rostow's classification
Traditional society
Preconditions
for take off
Take-off
Drive to maturity
Age of high mass
consumption
6 Let's Look at indicators
UN Websites:
MDCs, LDCs, LLDCs
International
websites through the library
MSU Ciber site
is especially good
NIC - Newly Industrialized
Countries
- Rapid growth
- Free market reform
BEMs - big emerging
markets - large, significant populations, many products,
growth, politically important, affect economic growth - stat-usa.gov
7 Infrastructure
Capital goods
which serve many industries
Media:
newspapers, magazines, tv stations
Utilities:
gas, electricity, water
Transportation:
roads, airports
Telephones
Dual Economy
Market indicators
and their meaning
NEW
Newly Industrialized Countries Growth Factors
8 The Americas
Much progress
in economic trade in Latin America
NAFTA
MERCOSUR
9 Eastern Europe
Emerging from
political philosophy of planned markets
Divided through
ethnic warfare: Czech republic, Bosnia
High levels of
pollution
Privatizing their
industries
Is it possible
to have everyday life and everyday consumer needs in the
middle of ethnic warfare?
10 Asia
Financial crisis
Look at table
9-7 - look at the differences in wealth
Labor abuses
in China - charge by US to improve human rights
Transition of
Hong Kong from 155 years of British rule to Chinese rule in 1997
11 Living Standards
Who decides what
is the standard?
What do these
measures really mean?
Go back to cultural
universals
Is a "stove"
really measuring having something to use to cook?
Is a "refrigerator"
really measuring having something to keep things cold?
Is "electric
lighting" really measuring having lighting?
12 Market Potential Indicators for Emerging
Markets
Seven dimensions
are chosen to represent the market potential of a country
over a scale of 1 to 100, and they are given weights to contribute to the
overall market potential index.
Market Size
Economic Freedom
Market Growth
Rate
Market receptivity
Market Intensity
Country risk
Market Consumption
Capacity
Commercial Infrastructure
http://globaledge.msu.edu/ibrd/marketpot.asp
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |