Review Lecture. These are some
notes for a review lecture I plan to give on Tuesday night. Given the shortness
of our summer term, I thought I would send them out to the mlist so you
could think about them in advance. If you can integrate one (or possibly
even more) of the general themes here into your presentation, so much the
better. If you have questions, bring them to class on Tuesday. In
addition to this review lecture, you will find it useful to review
the
Notes
for First Half of the Course and Notes
for Second Half of the Course. The exam will cover the entire
course and will emphasize the Assigned
Reading as well as material covered in class.
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We started with the concept of the "Global
Brain." A metaphor, drawing attention to increased interconnectedness among
a very large number of units leading to intelligence. This is how the brain
works, the individual neurons are not "intelligent" but almost mechanical.
But with enough of them linking together in the right way, we have a system
that is able to cope in creative ways with the unexpected. Will the earth
as a whole develop this capacity? Do we want it to? Individual humans are
more intelligent and more independent than neurons, perhaps we do not want
to be part of such a global intelligence, or at least we want to be able
to opt out of it. We certainly are becoming dependent on Internet access
for information necessary to our lives, we may depend on software that
is not on our PC's, etc. The analogy between the human brain and the "global"
brain is something to think about, they are clearly not the same in every
respect.
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The emergence of intelligence is part of
a larger question of how order emerges out of chaos. And how chaos emerges
out of order, because a key feature of intelligent systems is that they
do not just respond mechanically to stimuli but display creativity. This
is an old philosophical issue, often framed as "free will vs determinism."
Charles Saunders Peirce and the early American Pragmatists resolved this
by postulating a fundamental spontaneity to even the smallest particles
of matter - a metaphysical speculation that has later been confirmed by
physicists who have probed the "quantum" nature of sub-atomic particles.
Mathematical studies show that chaos can emerge out of order in the sense
that deterministic equations can lead to chaotic results when the results
are recycled over a number of iterations - as we saw in the spreadsheet
demonstration of the logistic equation.
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Pythagoras and Peirce drew attention to
the fundamentally digital nature of the universe. Phenomena tend to be
segmented into discrete units that can be counted, e.g., the chemical elements.
The small integers, the counting numbers, have unique characteristics -
especially Zero and One - or Being and Nothingness as J.P. Sartre called
them. We can see these as the fundamental nature of reality, or just use
them as guide in understanding how complexity emerges.
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An example of the emergence of complexity
is the computer industry. In the beginning, computing was done in the mind
or with mechanical instruments such as the abacus. With the invention of
the algorithm - a set of sequential mathematical instructions - it became
more complex and more able to model more aspects of the physical world.
Turing developed the idea of a machine that could carry out algorithms,
and showed that a sequence of zeroes and ones, if it was long enough, could
solve any logical problem.
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The computer industry developed out of
the need for machines to do massive numbers of computations, primarily
for military purposes such as breaking codes and calculating trajectories
for artillery. This personal computer industry grew because of hobbyists
who found this fascinated and wanted to be able to play with it at home.
Its growth is a case study in the emergence of order out of chaos. This
happened as part of the market economy, another classic example of the
emergence of order from chaos. As is typical in markets, we see a large
number of competitors at the beginning, with a winnowing out of all but
the strongest as the process develops. The same process can be seen with
the Internet, with search engines competing for our attention and the system
coming to be dominated by a few. The lawsuit against Microsoft is an attempt
to use governmental authority - the rational mind of "society" - to control
this process. These matters are still in flux today, and your investigations
for your Presentations may give us some up-to-date information about what
is happening.
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There are several themes we should be looking
for in these contemporary developments, and in speculations about the near
future. These include:
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Increased Complexity. Each of the topics
we look at: arts, sciences, business, education, etc, develops from ideas
or concepts to mechanical systems to cybernetic systems to autopoietic
systems - or from firstness to secondness to thirdness to fourthness in
Peirce's quaint metaphysics. We can see this in every realm of life, e.g.,
in education we start with a thinker who has an idea, we have a dialog
between him or her and others, then we have a systematic set of ideas that
can be written in a textbook or presented in a series of lectures. Finally,
we have a self-sustaining network of scholars and teachers who respond
to threats to their ideas by developing and refining them. Finally, these
systems become stale and are challenged by a thinker with a new idea and
the cycle begins again. With computer networks, these networks need not
be local, nor need they be based on an institution such as a university.
In economic life we see this as new product ideas become huge industries
with vested interests, only to collapse when a new product is invented.
In the arts, we have successive schools or musical genres that begin with
a freshness, develop into fairly predictable patterns, then are replaced
by something new and exciting. We should be able to detect elements of
this pattern in everything we examine.
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Attractors Emerging Out of Chaos. Out of
all the chaotic interaction we observe when there are thousands of competitors,
certain patterns succeed and become typical. We can think of these as attractors.
For example, internet-assisted home schooling, charter schools, online
enrichment courses, etc. In the business world, certain business models
succeed - online bookstores, encyclopedias, pornography sites, etc. - while
others fail. A big part of success in any field is being attentive to which
attractors are emerging successfully. Those that are most successful become
self-maintaining systems. Which ones are emerging in your field of interest?
What will the major players ten years from now look like?
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Hierarchy and Heterarchy or Networking.
These two organizational principles are found in all complex systems, but
some emphasize one more than the other. Often they go through phases with
early dominance by an innovator being succeeded by a chaotic, heterarchical
period, followed by dominance by market leaders. In the computer industry,
IBM's early dominance was broken by the PC industry and Microsoft's policy
of licensing its operating system to multiple manufacturers. Now Microsoft's
own dominance is imposing hierarchical order, which is challenged by Linux
and other competing movements. Recently, Microsoft has actually been the
main source of new software for Apples, which is often more advanced than
the Windows software - perhaps because Microsoft recognizes the need for
heterarchy in the system, or only because they have been able to make a
lot of money by bailing out a competitor that looked like it was going
under.