Multiple Choice Questions. Choose the one best answer and circle it on the test form.
b. The sample of the city with 1,000,000 people will be much more accurate than the other samples.
c. The sample of the city with 3,000,000 people will be much more accurate than the other samples.
d. There won't be much difference in the accuracy of the three samples.
Page two:
2. 400 A researcher wants to obtain a margin of error of no more than 5% in a survey of a county with a population of 30,000. How large a sample is needed?
3. 2.92% In a survey of 1000 voters, 600 were Democrats, 300 Republicans and 100 Libertarian. 85% of the Democrats favored Al Gore in the primary. What is the margin of error for this percentage?
4. 2000 or 5 times 400 A survey is to be conducted of attitudes residents of five counties in southern New Jersey. The researcher wants to achieve a 5% margin of error for the estimates for each county. How large a sample is needed?
In a survey of community residents, the
mean income was $38,745 with a standard deviation of $3,345. There are
270,000 residents in the community. 1000 were sampled in the survey.
5. $211.56 What is the margin
of error for this mean score?
6. $38533.44 What would the
lower bound of the confidence interval be for this mean?
7. $38956.56 What would the upper bound of the confidence interval be?
8. .252 There were 85 students in a survey research class, and they completed a mean number of 4.76 interviews, with a standard deviation of 1.16. Treating this class as a sample of the population of survey research classes, what would the margin of error be on this mean?
Page three:
Consider the following results from a
regression analysis:
Dependent Variable: INFANT MORTALITY
N: 50 Missing: 0
Multiple R-Square = 0.516 Y-Intercept = 4.266
Standard error of the estimate = 1.026
LISTWISE deletion (1-tailed test) Significance Levels:
**=.01, *=.05
Source Sum of Squares DF Mean Square F Prob.
REGRESSION 51.718 3 17.239 16.378 0.000
RESIDUAL 48.418 46 1.053
TOTAL 100.136 49
Unstand.b Stand.Beta Std.Err.b t
CIGSMOKERS 0.003 0.007
0.056 0.062
POV LINE -0.191 -0.439
0.062 -3.100 **
TEEN MOMS 0.417 0.928
0.069 6.052 **
Answer the following questions:
1. CIGSMOKERS, POVLINE and TEEN MOMS What are the independent variables in this last analysis? Note: one point item, all three must be given to get the one point.
2. INFANT MORTALITY What is the dependent variable in this analysis?
3. TEENMOMS Which variable is the best predictor of the dependent variable?
4. 51.6% What percentage of the variance in the dependent variable is explained in this analysis?
5. Fill in the blanks in this formula:
Infant Mortality = 4.266 + ( .003 * Cigarette
Smokers ) + ( -.191 * Percent of Population Under the Poverty
Line) + ( .417 * Percent of Teen Moms). Note: four points
for this item, one for each answer.
6. 8.11 What would the predicted infant mortality rate weight be for a state with 25% cigarette smokers, 13% under poverty and 15% teenage mothers? Note: two point item.
IMPORTANT NOTE: When using a regression
equation, you keep the independent variables in the format that was used
to compute the equation. If the variables were percentages, you use them
in percentage form. if they were rates, e.g., infant mortality rates, you
keep them as rates. This is different from the "margin of error" computations
when percentages are converted to proportions before using the formulas.
The results of the regression equation are in whatever unit of measurement
was used when the equation was computed. In these equations, the results
are infant mortality rates, which are rates per 1000. They are not percents,
and your answer is really wrong if you add a % sign to it.
To get the answer to question 6: Infant
Mortality Rate = 4.266 + (.003 * 25) - (.191 * 13) + (.417 * 15). Note:
the percents are left as whole numbers. Also, note the minus sign for the
.191, because this coefficient is negative. You might also note that this
equation makes little sense if treated as a causal analysis, why would
the effect of poverty on the infant mortality rate be negative? It works
out that way in the multiple regression, probably, because the poverty
rate and the percent of teen mothers are so highly correlated with each
other.
4.226+
7. 7.34 What would the predicted
infant mortality rate weight be for a state with 15% cigarette smokers,
6% under poverty and 10% teenage mothers? Note: this is answered in
the same way as the previous item, only the percents are different. Again,
they must be left as percents since that is how the equation was calculated.
IMRate = 4.266 + (.003 * 15) - (.191
* 6) + (.417 * 10)
4.266 + .045 - 1.146 + 4.17 =
8. 50 How many cases are
there in this analysis?