Commentary on the ABC News "Junk Science" program from the Skeptic's Dictionary.

January 9, 1997. "Junk Science", an ABC special hosted by John Stossel of
                    the news magazine 20/20 was exceptional television journalism. Not only were
                    skeptical viewpoints allowed; they were featured. There was no catering to
                    paranormal prurience. There wasn't much distinction made between
                    pseudoscience and inept, faulty, incompetent or fraudulent science, but on the
                    whole the program was a refreshing alternative to the junk journalism we usually
                    get with features on Virgin Mary apparitions, UFO sightings, and tearful
                    testimonies taken as proof of causal connections.

                    The show began with a listen-in on various cosmetologists (i.e., "beauticians" or
                    "esthetic technicians") babbling on as if they were nuclear physicists, while
                    extolling the wondrous virtues of their products to prospective or actual clients.
                    But the cosmetic industry was not analyzed or evaluated. A cynic might think
                    that to do so would risk losing advertising dollars. Better to go after those who
                    don't advertise, like the government. The government took two big hits from
                    Stossel: for its program on salt and for the EPA's destruction of an entire
                    community because of dioxin contamination.

                    I did not know before watching "Junk Science" that my government has a
                    bureaucracy devoted to informing the public of the dangers of salt. Dr. Jeffrey
                    Cutler heads the government's salt propaganda campaign. The idea is to
                    persuade us that we should not take in more than 2,400 milligrams of salt a day.
                    Stossel lined up about a dozen experts from places like Harvard and Stanford,
                    including Dr. Michael Alderman of the American Society of Hypertension, to
                    argue that there is no evidence that reducing salt intake is good advice for the
                    general public. There are some individuals who should limit their salt intake, but
                    the evidence is lacking which would suggest that all of us should do so. In fact,
                    one study of heart attack victims found that those with the lowest salt intake
                    suffered a significantly greater number of attacks (about 4 times as many) than
                    the rest of the group.

                    Our government came in for another attack when Stossel took us to a town in
                    Italy that had had a major dioxin catastrophe twenty years ago: a plant blew up
                    or something like that and there was major contamination of the town and the
                    people. There is evidence that dioxin does all kinds of bad things to rats and
                    mice and other animals. There is not much evidence that it does the same kinds
                    of things to humans. For example, no studies have shown that workers who
                    were in contact with dioxin for years run any greater risks for disease or death
                    than comparable groups not working with dioxin. The Italians buried the debris,
                    including the remains of the plant, and built a park over the buried contaminated
                    debris. They don't seem to be any the worse for their action. On the contrary,
                    when dioxin contamination entered the town of Times Beach, Missouri, the
                    EPA destroyed and buried the whole town and displaced the 2,000 residents,
                    forbidding them to re-enter their homes. The cost has run to over $100 million
                    for the exercise in environmental destruction by the EPA. The Italian
                    contamination was 10,000 times greater than the one in Missouri, yet William
                    Farland, Ph.D., of the EPA defends the operation and appeals to scientific
                    studies which indicate the dangers of dioxin to humans. There is no doubt he
                    could line up "experts" to back up his claim. [update: May 17, 2000. Dioxin
                    danger may be greater than originally thought.]

                    Stossel spent a good part of "Junk Science" dealing with "scientific experts" who
                    testify before the government and in court. Some of these experts and the
                    lawyers who hire them are of dubious integrity. Some of them seem to be on a
                    crusade. All of them are making money. The most egregious case Stossel
                    uncovered was that of Dr. Michael West, a Mississippi dentist who claims to be
                    an expert in "bite marks." His testimony has sent a dozen people to jail, two of
                    whom are on death row. Because of his incompetence and fraudulent practice,
                    Dr. West has been kicked out of and condemned by the professional
                    organizations he had belonged to. One of his convictions involved exhuming a
                    murder victim's body which had been in the ground for over a year, using some
                    sort of special light as he examined the remains, and claiming to identify bite
                    marks on her shoulder which were "invisible to the naked eye." He also claimed
                    that the bite marks were put there by her husband, who was arrested, convicted
                    and spent two years in jail before being freed after Dr. West's dubious
                    credentials were uncovered. (Tony Kekko, the accused, may be completely
                    innocent, or he may well have killed his wife or hired someone to do it. The
                    point is that the only evidence used to arrest and convict him was the junk
                    science testimony of a quack. I wonder how jurors would respond to such
                    testimony if they realized that the same thing could happen to them!)

                    The problem of junk science in the courtroom is a significant social problem and
                    needs to be addressed. Stossel has made a major contribution to making the
                    public aware of the problem. One aspect of the problem involves people like
                    Dr. West who claim to be experts in something for which there are no
                    established social criteria. That is, some so-called experts are not really experts
                    because what they claim to be experts in is controversial or dubious. Stossel
                    showed the hire-an-expert advertisements which appeared in a magazine which
                    caters to lawyers. Very few, if any of them, could honestly claim to be scientists.
                    On the other hand, many of the experts called to testify in court have very good
                    scientific credentials. The two experts who testified for the lawyers who sued
                    Dow Corning over breast implants were seemingly reputable scientists. They
                    testified to the causal connection between breast implants and such things as
                    connective tissue disease, Dow paid off millions and filed for bankruptcy. Jenny
                    Jones and Oprah had programs featuring women who'd had breast implants and
                    were suffering from painful disorders. The general public would reasonably
                    conclude from such behavior that there must be strong evidence that breast
                    implants caused these disorders. Yet, the rest of the medical scientific
                    community maintains that given the more than one million women who have had
                    breast implants, it would be expected by chance, if there were no causal
                    connection between the implants and disease, that about 1% or 10,000 women
                    would be ill, because that is the percent of women in the general population who
                    suffer from these problems. That is what the studies have found. If there were a
                    causal connection, the percentage of women who'd had breast implants
                    suffering from diseases such as connective tissue disease should be significantly
                    higher than that for women who do not have breast implants. It isn't.

                    It is hard not to be moved by anyone's suffering, but lawyers, scientists and
                    jurors have a responsibility to get at the truth. Unfortunately, all too often
                    interest in the whole truth, necessary to achieve justice, is suppressed in favor of
                    finding a perpetrator, guilty or not, who can be blamed for causing such pain
                    and suffering. The only suggestion Stoffel had to remedy the situation is that
                    scientific consensus should carry more weight than the opinion of a few experts,
                    no matter what their credentials. He also clearly implied that some judicial
                    criteria are needed to prevent quack disciplines from being able to provide
                    "scientific experts" in the courtroom.

                    Journalists and the mass media were criticized for their role in promoting junk
                    science, but not nearly as severely as they should have been. About 15 or 20
                    years ago there was a major media flurry on "crack babies". Cocaine was said
                    to doom a baby to a lifetime of moronic existence. Experts made strong claims
                    about the inability of crack babies to ever lead normal lives. Such babies can't
                    respond to a human voice, one expert claimed. The media jumped on the
                    bandwagon and so did the government (it fit the government's war on drugs
                    scorched earth policy). Rolling Stone magazine came in for special criticism.
                    The studies on crack babies, it turns out, were done on samples as few as 23,
                    and no controls were made for the effects of alcohol or other potential causal
                    factors. In short, crack babies are not necessarily doomed. Cocaine in a baby's
                    body at birth has not been established as causing brain damage. Where were
                    the media and the government when better studies undermined the claims of the
                    doomsayers? As usual, they were nowhere to be found.

                    Stossel also reported on Pons and Fleishman whose fame was as ephemeral as
                    the cold fusion they claimed to have harnessed. The lesson here may be that this
                    is what happens when scientists skip peer review and go right to the media and
                    the court of public opinion before begging for dollars before Congress. By the
                    way, it was reported that Toyota has built these guys a research plant in the
                    south of France. Not bad for a couple of bumblers whose best data was most
                    likely due to either fraud or faulty equipment.

                    Other scientists were called to task by Stossel, including Linus Pauling and his
                    campaign on behalf of vitamin C. At least a dozen studies have shown that there
                    is no demonstrable cold-preventative effect in vitamin C. Stossel had nothing to
                    say about the fad to take zinc supplements to prevent colds. But he did bring up
                    the fact that spinach is overrated as a source of iron because of a decimal
                    placement error by a scientist years ago.

                    "Junk Science" was a rare program and I would like to see much more similar
                    programming. ABC is to be commended for the program and for 20/20.

                         reader comments

                         20 Dec 1999
                         I've learned to take Stossel's claims with a huge grain of salt,
                         especially when he's attacking government programs, and this
                         was certainly no exception. I presume that he's talking about
                         the Seveso accident of 1976-- it's the one item that kept
                         turning up when I did a MEDLINE search on "dioxin" and
                         "Italy." If Stossel claimed that the Seveso-area residents are
                         doing just fine, he didn't do his research: I found several
                         papers which noted higher rates of cardiovascular disease
                         and CVD-related deaths (Pesatori 1998), higher rates of
                         mortality for several kinds of digestive canal cancers (Bertazzi
                         1997), and increases in Hodgkin's lymphoma and thyroid
                         cancer (Pesatori 1993). A 1989 review noted that "An
                         increased mortality, from chronic ischemic heart disease
                         (males) and hypertensive disease (females), which could not
                         be explained in terms of chance, confounding, or bias, was
                         noted in the exposed population. The stressful experience of
                         the population in the aftermath of the disaster was deemed
                         relevant to the interpretation of these findings. Overall,
                         cancer mortality was not increased. Suggestive increases,
                         however, were seen for melanoma, brain cancer, soft tissue
                         sarcomas and certain hematologic neoplasms, whereas
                         mortality from breast cancer and cancer of the liver was
                         noticeably decreased." (Bertazzi 1989)

                         No, no one study can really be the final word on a medical
                         controversy, and no paper is immune to criticism. But it
                         sounds as though Stossel's dismissal of the Seveso incident
                         was far from accurate.

                         references

                         Pesatori AC. Zocchetti C. Guercilena S. Consonni D. Turrini D.
                         Bertazzi PA. Dioxin exposure and non-malignant health effects: a
                         mortality study. Occupational & Environmental Medicine.
                         55(2):126-31, 1998 Feb.

                         Bertazzi PA. Zocchetti C. Guercilena S. Consonni D. Tironi A.
                         Landi MT. Pesatori AC. Dioxin exposure and cancer risk: a
                         15-year mortality study after the "Seveso accident".
                         Epidemiology. 8(6):646-52, 1997 Nov.

                         Pesatori AC. Consonni D. Tironi A. Zocchetti C. Fini A. Bertazzi
                         PA. Cancer in a young population in a dioxin-contaminated area.
                         International Journal of Epidemiology. 22(6):1010-3, 1993
                         Dec.

                         Bertazzi PA. Zocchetti C. Pesatori AC. Guercilena S. Sanarico
                         M. Radice L. Mortality in an area contaminated by TCDD
                         following an industrial incident. Medicina del Lavoro.
                         80(4):316-29, 1989 Jul-Aug.

                         --Brian Siano