How to Define Poverty? Let Us Count the Ways
By LOUIS UCHITELLE
The Census Bureau each fall goes through a ritual that
is as Americana as the World Series. A press
conference is convened, and senior officials, illustrating
their numbers with colorful charts, disclose to the
nation the latest income data. None gets more attention than the poverty
level. A family of four that falls below
$17,062 in annual income falls into poverty, the bureau declared last
September.
Federal aid programs indexed to the poverty line — Head Start, food
stamps and children's health insurance,
among others — are then doled out accordingly, which is a lot of power
for a statistic that is out of touch with
reality.
In public opinion polls, most Americans say that poverty begins north
of an annual income of $20,000 for a
family of four. Not even the Census Bureau believes its poverty numbers.
Since 1995 the bureau has been
developing a new measure, one pegged more closely to the actual cost
of getting by. A progress report is due in
July, but building the new income and expenditure procedures and testing
them take time, Census Bureau
officials say. A final proposal is not likely to reach the White House
for approval in President Bush's current
term.
Not that he minds. His predecessor didn't. "Whenever the question of
the poverty data came up informally,"
said Robert B. Reich, who was President Bill Clinton's first secretary
of labor, "the consensus was not to
change the standard for fear the poverty rate would look worse" — although
the present poverty figures, as Mr.
Reich put it, "are almost meaningless."
Defining poverty is not easy. Even if the Census Bureau's new measure
calculates necessary expenditures more
accurately than the current formula, the new approach, like the current
one, still uses income as the single
criterion for judging who is poor. That leaves out neighborhoods, for
instance. Is a ghetto family impoverished
because of its crime-ridden surroundings and poor schools, although
the family has enough income to rise
above the official poverty threshold? And there is the issue of responsibility.
Should the family of a
hardworking full-time employee earning the minimum wage be blamed for
poverty because the minimum no
longer lifts the worker's income above the poverty level, as it did
in the 1960's and early 70's?
"Poverty is really the lack of freedom to have or to do basic things
that you value," said Amartya Sen, the
Nobel laureate in economics. By that definition, a ghetto family that
wants to move to an adequate
neighborhood but cannot afford to do so or is prevented by discrimination
from doing so is impoverished.
Or try this definition from Benjamin I. Page and James R. Simmons, political
scientists at Northwestern
University and the University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh, respectively,
and the authors of "What Government Can
Do." (University of Chicago Press): "A person deprived of things that
everyone around him has is likely to
suffer a sense of inadequacy, a loss of dignity and self-respect."
That brings state of mind into the mix, introducing all kinds of judgments
that few people agree on. For all their
concern about living standards, Americans have left the definition
of poverty to politicians, who have defined
it narrowly.
Income levels have been the only criterion since 1965, when President
Lyndon B. Johnson adopted the present
poverty formula. The latest figures show that 11.8 percent of the population
lived in poverty in 1999, the
lowest percentage in 20 years. The formula is not merely a statistical
statement, however; it carries a particular
viewpoint as well, about who is responsible for poverty — government,
society or the individual.
You neutralize poverty "by keeping the focus on the characteristics
of poor people rather than on the economy,
politics and society more broadly construed," writes Alice O'Connor,
a historian at the University of
California in Santa Barbara and the author of the recently published
"Poverty Knowledge" (Princeton
University Press).
For Lawrence Katz, a Harvard economist, and William Julius Wilson, a
sociologist at Harvard, ghetto
neighborhoods reinforce poverty and contribute to it. But dismantling
ghettos and integrating neighborhoods, a
hugely complicated endeavor, has not been high on the agenda of any
administration in 20 years. Nor has the
minimum wage. Adjusted for inflation, it has declined from more than
$6 an hour in the 1960's to $5.25 today.
"Rather than a single poverty measure, what you really want is to develop
multiple measures of deprivation
and look at them on a regular basis," said Rebecca Blank, dean of the
University of Michigan's School of
Public Policy. "For example, you might have a level of neighborhood
crime that is some threshold level of
acceptability, and then you determine how many people live in neighborhoods
where the crime rate is above
the acceptable level."
That is certainly not the current approach. The present system is based
on a minimally nutritious food budget
devised decades ago by the Department of Agriculture. The food budget
is multiplied by three because back in
the 1950's and 60's food was considered one-third of an average family's
outlays.
Neither the food budget nor the multiplier have changed in all these
years, although food is less than 20 percent
of the average family budget today. Poverty thresholds have remained
static, as a result, since 1965, except for
the annual inflation adjustment, which the Census Bureau ceremoniously
announces at the fall news conference.
So every time household incomes have risen faster than inflation —
and thus faster than the Census Bureau's
poverty level incomes — the percentage of households in poverty has
naturally fallen. That happened in the
Johnson years and in the late 1990's, which helped President Bill Clinton.
Some poverty experts see virtue in the present system despite its faults.
"There is a reason to have a dozen
poverty lines, including the one we have, which tells us many things,"
said Douglas Besharov, a resident
fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
"There is a political battle, a minor skirmish, going on here," he added,
"with a number of people favoring the
new measure because it would raise the count of poor and thus the need
for more programs and more
spending."
The Census Bureau's experimental measure, based on the six-year- old
recommendations of a panel on poverty
organized by the National Academy of Science, is likely to raise the
poverty rate, many experts say. The reason
is embedded in its structure.
The new measure relies on actual expenditures for food, clothing, shelter
and utilities plus "a little bit more,"
as the Census Bureau puts it, for life's other necessities. The bureau
would draw on the Labor Department's
annual survey of consumer expenditures, not on an outdated, unchanging
food budget.
"Basically we are asking the question, if we look back to last year,
how many families were not able to
purchase food, clothing, shelter, utilities and a little bit more —
that basic bundle," said Kathleen Short, a
senior researcher at the Census Bureau. She is working on a way to
adjust the new poverty measure also for
regional differences in living costs, particularly for housing.
A special calculation would keep the initial poverty rate in line with
the current one to avoid alarming
politicians, but the new poverty rate would fluctuate more than the
current one as expenditures rose and fell
with the business cycle. It would probably average one or two percentage
points above what the current
formula produces, based on the Census Bureau's preliminary calculations.
"If consumer expenditures go up 10 percent," said Angus Deaton, a Princeton
University economist, "then the
poverty rate will drift up 5 percent, because food, shelter and clothing
do not go up as fast as other
expenditures."
That is all straightforward enough. Calculating income is not. The current
system counts only cash wages
before taxes and other cash payments as income. The new system would
also count noncash benefits like food
stamps. "The rationale is that because we are allowing for food stamps
and so on, we are taking account of
public policy," Ms. Short said. "Under the current system, you can
distribute billions in noncash benefits and it
does not count."
While those benefits would raise a family's official income, some expenses
would be subtracted, lowering it.
Taxes, child care, other work- related expenses and out-of-pocket medical
outlays would all be excluded from
income. But there are still gaps, say poverty researchers. For example,
40 million Americans do not have
health insurance, not even Medicaid. With enough income, many of these
people can rise above the official
poverty threshold, although in Mr. Sen's view, they are not "free"
to afford quality medical care.
While the Census Bureau struggles to give birth to a poverty formula
more realistic than the present one, ad hoc
poverty measures pop up frequently from academics, nonprofit organizations
and regional development groups.
Nearly all conclude that a family of four needs at least $25,000 a
year to afford the basics, including a car to
commute to work, an item overlooked in the Census Bureau's new measure.
At least $25,000 is the income
featured in the "basic needs" budget developed by Indiana's Economic
Development Council, one goal being to
draw jobs to the state that pay at least that much.
The United Way of Central Indiana now uses the basic needs budget as
a guideline in awarding grants. The
Urban League of Indianapolis just got $97,000 to develop a training
program that will qualify black men for
jobs paying at least $25,000.
"That is self-sufficiency," said David Weinschrott, a United Way director.
"Poverty is all about stereotypes.
Families with less than $25,000 fall below self-sufficiency."
Adam Smith would have agreed. There's more to poverty than lacking the
bare necessities, he argued. "A linen
shirt, for example, is, strictly speaking, not a necessary of life,"
Smith wrote in 1776. "The Greeks and Romans
lived, I suppose, very comfortably though they had no linen. But in
the present times, through the greater part of
Europe, a creditable day laborer would be ashamed to appear in public
without a linen shirt, the want of which
would be supposed to denote that disgraceful degree of poverty which,
it is presumed, nobody can well fall
into without extreme bad conduct."
Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company